Novo Hamburgo vs Canoas SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SLU
1 - 0
NOV
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
SCI
0 - 0
NOV
83%
13%
4%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 0
JUV
51%
23%
26%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 2
ECS
50%
24%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
VER
3 - 1
NOV
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Canoas SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CAN
1 - 2
CRU
56%
23%
22%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
CAN
0 - 1
PAS
65%
20%
15%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 2
CAN
85%
12%
4%
|
50 | 84 | 34 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CAN
0 - 0
CAX
26%
25%
49%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 0
CAN
87%
10%
3%
|
50 | 81 | 31 | 0 |