Novo Hamburgo vs Brusque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
38.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 0
MAD
48%
27%
24%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
MAD
1 - 0
NOV
40%
28%
32%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
BRU
1 - 1
NOV
45%
29%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 3
JMA
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ECS
1 - 0
NOV
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
JMA
0 - 0
BRU
39%
27%
35%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
BRU
2 - 0
JMA
36%
28%
36%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
BRU
1 - 1
NOV
45%
29%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
MAD
0 - 0
BRU
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
JEC
1 - 1
BRU
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |