Novo Hamburgo vs Brasil de Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
58.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
NOV
0 - 1
SCI
11%
23%
67%
|
49 | 86 | 37 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
SLU
2 - 0
NOV
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 3
JUV
17%
23%
59%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
YPI
3 - 3
NOV
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 1
PEL
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
ECS
1 - 2
BRA
24%
26%
50%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 0
CAX
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ESP
0 - 1
BRA
24%
25%
51%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
GRE
4 - 1
BRA
82%
13%
5%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 1
AIM
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |