Novo Hamburgo vs Brasil de Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
53.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
GRE
3 - 0
NOV
79%
16%
5%
|
54 | 84 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 0
CRU
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 0
SLU
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 1
CRB
23%
24%
53%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 0
SAO
67%
21%
12%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
CAX
0 - 0
BRA
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
BRA
2 - 0
ECS
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 1
BRA
70%
20%
10%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
BRA
1 - 0
SCI
22%
26%
52%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2018 |
SLU
0 - 0
BRA
14%
21%
65%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |