Novo Hamburgo vs Brasil de Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
18.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 0
URS
71%
19%
10%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
SCI
1 - 0
NOV
82%
13%
5%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
JUV
1 - 2
NOV
38%
28%
35%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
NOV
2 - 2
AIM
65%
21%
13%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
SCI
1 - 0
NOV
82%
14%
5%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 1
BRA
78%
17%
5%
|
52 | 83 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 0
SAO
53%
26%
22%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 1
CRU
44%
27%
29%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
CAX
0 - 1
BRA
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
TOM
0 - 0
BRA
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |