Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 2-1
Novo Hamburgo vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
39.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
ABC
1 - 0
NOV
59%
23%
19%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
JMA
0 - 2
NOV
36%
27%
38%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 0
JMA
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
JEC
2 - 2
NOV
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 0
JEC
22%
25%
53%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 0
ABC
49%
27%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
ABC
1 - 0
NOV
59%
23%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
ABC
2 - 1
JEC
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
LUV
3 - 1
ABC
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
ABC
1 - 1
NAU
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |