Novigrad vs Uljanik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
49.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novigrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
NKC
1 - 0
NOV
31%
21%
48%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 0
NNH
60%
20%
19%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
PAZ
0 - 0
NOV
41%
22%
37%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 0
NKB
40%
23%
37%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
NOV
0 - 0
NEH
54%
24%
22%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Uljanik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ULJ
1 - 4
NKC
30%
26%
44%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ULJ
3 - 0
POM
12%
21%
67%
|
32 | 62 | 30 | +3 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
NKC
1 - 0
ULJ
19%
20%
61%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
ULJ
2 - 0
NNH
75%
15%
11%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
NBB
1 - 0
ULJ
12%
16%
72%
|
36 | 11 | 25 | -2 |