Novigrad vs NK Zelina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.1%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
5.3%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novigrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 2
RUD
33%
27%
40%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
HNG
3 - 1
NOV
47%
28%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 1
ZAG
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
NKR
0 - 1
NOV
68%
20%
13%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 0
HNS
33%
28%
39%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
NK Zelina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
OPA
4 - 0
NKZ
69%
18%
13%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
NKZ
0 - 2
SAM
45%
24%
30%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
DUB
7 - 0
NKZ
78%
15%
7%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
NKZ
0 - 2
MAK
34%
25%
41%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
SPA
2 - 3
NKZ
51%
21%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |