Novigrad vs NK Varazdin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novigrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
HDR
2 - 0
NOV
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
NOV
0 - 0
HNS
39%
29%
32%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
HNG
5 - 0
NOV
51%
27%
22%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
NOV
0 - 0
SOL
45%
28%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
RUD
2 - 0
NOV
59%
23%
17%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
NKV
3 - 1
SLA
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
BIJ
1 - 2
NKV
46%
24%
30%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
NKV
3 - 0
VIS
87%
10%
4%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
MZL
1 - 1
NKV
32%
27%
42%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
NKV
1 - 0
CRO
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |