Novigrad vs NK Varazdin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
57.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novigrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 0
NNH
45%
24%
31%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
NMF
2 - 1
NOV
50%
23%
28%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -3 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
NOV
3 - 0
VNV
57%
21%
22%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
ORI
2 - 0
NOV
59%
21%
20%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 1
OPA
52%
23%
26%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
NKV
1 - 3
BJE
81%
13%
6%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
POD
2 - 1
NKV
16%
22%
62%
|
47 | 23 | 24 | -3 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
NKV
3 - 0
NKP
85%
11%
5%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
NKS
2 - 1
NKV
19%
23%
58%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | -3 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
NKV
1 - 1
CGR
79%
13%
7%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | -1 |