Novigrad vs NK Sesvete analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
46.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novigrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ZAG
1 - 0
NOV
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
NOV
0 - 1
LUK
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
IMO
2 - 1
NOV
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 1
ZAG
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 2
HDR
57%
24%
18%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
NK Sesvete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
NKR
0 - 1
NKD
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
NKR
4 - 2
ZAG
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
LUK
0 - 2
NKR
19%
26%
55%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
NKR
2 - 0
IMO
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
NKR
2 - 1
LUK
65%
20%
14%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |