Novigrad vs NK Naprijed Hreljin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
12%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novigrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
NOV
0 - 0
NKC
18%
22%
60%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
NOV
0 - 1
KAR
59%
21%
20%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
NEH
1 - 0
NOV
31%
23%
47%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 0
KRK
56%
22%
22%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 1
NKB
61%
19%
19%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
NK Naprijed Hreljin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
NNH
0 - 2
JAP
10%
15%
75%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
NNH
1 - 1
PAZ
17%
20%
63%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
NNH
0 - 1
NKC
23%
21%
57%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
NKR
2 - 0
NNH
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
NKG
4 - 1
NNH
89%
8%
3%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | 0 |