Novigrad vs NK Kustošija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novigrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
HAJ
5 - 1
NOV
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
NOV
2 - 0
SOL
36%
30%
34%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
HNG
5 - 2
NOV
64%
23%
13%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2017 |
NOV
0 - 0
DZG
10%
20%
70%
|
52 | 83 | 31 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
NOV
0 - 0
LUK
36%
27%
37%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
NK Kustošija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
KUS
2 - 1
NKD
26%
27%
48%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
HNS
1 - 0
KUS
66%
20%
13%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
KUS
0 - 1
ZAG
27%
30%
44%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
NKR
2 - 0
KUS
69%
20%
11%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
KUS
1 - 0
NKV
39%
26%
36%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |