Novigrad vs Jadran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
64%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novigrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2021 |
NKC
3 - 1
NOV
25%
20%
55%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 1
NKG
11%
16%
73%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
VNV
1 - 1
NOV
50%
21%
29%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
NOV
0 - 0
NKR
28%
24%
48%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
PAZ
2 - 1
NOV
63%
19%
19%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2021 |
NKB
1 - 1
JAP
13%
17%
70%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
JAP
2 - 1
NKC
87%
9%
4%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
NKG
0 - 6
JAP
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
JAP
6 - 0
VNV
77%
14%
9%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
NKR
1 - 2
JAP
31%
24%
45%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |