Novigrad vs Hrvatski Dragovoljac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
28.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novigrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2017 |
NOV
3 - 0
ZMA
69%
20%
11%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 1
NKV
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
HDR
2 - 0
NOV
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
NOV
0 - 0
HNS
39%
29%
32%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
HNG
5 - 0
NOV
51%
27%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
HDR
3 - 3
NKD
40%
29%
32%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
KUS
3 - 1
HDR
29%
23%
48%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
HDR
2 - 0
NOV
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
NKR
3 - 0
HDR
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
HDR
0 - 1
ZAG
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |