Novigrad vs HNK Sibenik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
30.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novigrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
ZAG
1 - 0
NOV
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
NOV
2 - 3
NKR
24%
26%
50%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
KUS
0 - 1
NOV
33%
26%
42%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
NOV
5 - 1
NKZ
77%
16%
7%
|
55 | 19 | 36 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
NOV
0 - 3
HAJ
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
HNK Sibenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
HNS
1 - 2
NKD
44%
28%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
NKV
0 - 0
HNS
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
ZAG
3 - 1
HNS
55%
25%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
ZAG
0 - 3
HNS
14%
22%
64%
|
58 | 28 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
HNS
1 - 0
NKR
30%
27%
44%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |