Novi Pazar vs Rad Beograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
41.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novi Pazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
JAV
3 - 2
NPA
56%
26%
18%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
NPA
0 - 1
VOJ
13%
24%
63%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
SLO
2 - 0
NPA
68%
20%
13%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
NPA
0 - 0
PAR
11%
21%
68%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
BEO
1 - 0
NPA
69%
20%
12%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Rad Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
HAJ
2 - 0
RAD
41%
29%
30%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
RAD
2 - 2
JAV
58%
25%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2013 |
VOJ
1 - 0
RAD
64%
23%
13%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
RAD
2 - 0
SLO
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 0
RAD
76%
16%
8%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |