Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
3º
12º
11º
33
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 56 |
2º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 49 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 47 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 46 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 45 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 44 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 44 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 38 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 37 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 37 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 35 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 34 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 32 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 26 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 13 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
21% | 84.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
79% | 15.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novi Pazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
NPA
3 - 2
FKS
48%
27%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
PET
0 - 2
NPA
38%
24%
38%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 0
NPA
30%
25%
45%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
APO
2 - 2
NPA
63%
22%
16%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
NPA
2 - 1
RAD
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
OFK Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
BEO
1 - 0
TOD
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MLA
1 - 2
BEO
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
BEO
2 - 2
VRS
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
BEO
0 - 1
GRA
47%
24%
29%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
KHI
2 - 3
BEO
47%
24%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |