Novi Pazar vs Mladost Lučani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
27.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
6º
15º
12º
16
2º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 65 |
1º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 55 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 53 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 50 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 48 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 45 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
16 | 45 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 43 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 42 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 39 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 38 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
8 | 35 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 34 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 30 |
14º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 28 |
15º
|
30% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 18 |
16º
|
74.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
19.5% | 68% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
80.5% | 32% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novi Pazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CRV
4 - 1
NPA
71%
18%
12%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
NPA
0 - 0
BEO
49%
26%
26%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
NPA
3 - 2
FKS
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
PET
0 - 2
NPA
38%
24%
38%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 0
NPA
30%
25%
45%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mladost Lučani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MLA
1 - 2
TOD
64%
22%
15%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MLA
2 - 1
JED
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CRV
2 - 2
MLA
74%
17%
10%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MLA
1 - 2
BEO
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
RAD
4 - 0
MLA
63%
20%
17%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |