Novi Pazar vs Mladost Lučani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
27.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
2º
16º
6º
23
7º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novi Pazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
KOL
1 - 0
NPA
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
NPA
1 - 2
CRV
18%
22%
60%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
RAD
1 - 3
NPA
29%
28%
43%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
NPA
2 - 0
FKS
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
MNS
1 - 2
NPA
37%
28%
36%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mladost Lučani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
MLA
2 - 5
TSC
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
PAR
6 - 0
MLA
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
MLA
4 - 1
JAV
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
ČUK
3 - 1
MLA
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MLA
1 - 2
VOZ
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |