Novi Pazar vs Metalac GM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
18.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novi Pazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
3 - 1
NPA
72%
19%
9%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
NPA
0 - 0
CRV
14%
24%
62%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BOR
0 - 2
NPA
51%
28%
22%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
NPA
1 - 1
BSK
40%
29%
31%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SME
2 - 0
NPA
53%
27%
21%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Metalac GM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MET
1 - 3
HAJ
39%
29%
32%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
MET
0 - 1
22%
29%
50%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
CRV
5 - 0
MET
87%
10%
3%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
MET
3 - 2
BOR
34%
30%
36%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BSK
0 - 0
MET
55%
27%
18%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |