Novi Pazar vs Metalac GM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
27.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novi Pazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
NPA
0 - 3
SME
18%
25%
57%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
BSK
2 - 0
NPA
63%
21%
15%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
NPA
2 - 1
RAD
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
VOZ
3 - 0
NPA
79%
16%
6%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
NPA
0 - 2
JAV
32%
30%
39%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Metalac GM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
MET
1 - 0
JAG
30%
28%
42%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
MLA
3 - 1
MET
56%
25%
20%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
MET
1 - 1
NOV
43%
28%
29%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
MET
3 - 1
CEL
37%
30%
34%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
BSK
0 - 1
MET
68%
20%
12%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |