Novi Pazar vs Javor Ivanjica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
20.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
6º
3º
40
5º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
39 | 13 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 13 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
1º
|
48 | 12 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 8 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 8 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 1 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novi Pazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 4
NPA
30%
28%
42%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
NPA
0 - 1
VOZ
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
NPA
2 - 2
RAD
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
RAD
3 - 1
NPA
54%
23%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 0
NPA
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Javor Ivanjica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
JAV
1 - 1
NOV
33%
26%
40%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FKS
1 - 0
JAV
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
FKS
1 - 0
JAV
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
JAV
1 - 0
MLA
35%
28%
37%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
NAP
3 - 0
JAV
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |