Novi Pazar vs Jagodina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
30.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novi Pazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
MET
3 - 2
NPA
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
PAR
3 - 0
NPA
77%
16%
8%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
NPA
1 - 3
MLA
44%
27%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
JAV
1 - 1
NPA
51%
27%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
NPA
0 - 2
JAV
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Jagodina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
JAG
1 - 1
FKS
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
JAG
2 - 0
BSK
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
MET
1 - 4
JAG
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
JAG
2 - 2
PAR
19%
24%
57%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MLA
2 - 0
JAG
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |