Novi Pazar vs Jagodina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
30%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
45%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novi Pazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
FKD
3 - 0
NPA
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
NPA
1 - 1
BSK
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
FKS
2 - 0
NPA
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
NPA
2 - 1
SME
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
CRV
3 - 0
NPA
87%
10%
4%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Jagodina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
JAG
3 - 0
RAD
50%
28%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
JAV
0 - 1
JAG
41%
30%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
JAG
0 - 1
VOJ
29%
29%
42%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
SLO
1 - 1
JAG
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
JAV
1 - 0
JAG
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |