Novi Pazar vs IMT Novi Beograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
3º
12º
11º
23
12º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 57 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 48 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 47 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 46 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 45 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 45 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 38 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 37 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 37 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 35 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 33 |
13º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 32 |
14º
|
26% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 28 |
15º
|
73.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
23.5% | 7% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
76.5% | 93% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novi Pazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
SME
1 - 3
NPA
23%
23%
54%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ZEL
0 - 1
NPA
49%
25%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
NPA
3 - 4
PAR
25%
26%
50%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
NAP
2 - 1
NPA
30%
28%
42%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
VOJ
0 - 1
NPA
63%
22%
16%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
IMT Novi Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
MAV
0 - 1
NOV
32%
25%
43%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
NOV
3 - 0
TOD
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MLA
1 - 0
NOV
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
NOV
1 - 3
CRV
24%
24%
53%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
BEO
4 - 3
NOV
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |