Novi Pazar vs FK Spartak Subotica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
24.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
6º
15º
12º
8
9º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 65 |
1º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 55 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 53 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 50 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 48 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 45 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 45 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 43 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 42 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 39 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 38 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
8 | 35 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
8 | 34 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 30 |
14º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 28 |
15º
|
30% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 18 |
16º
|
74.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
19.5% | 16% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
80.5% | 84% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novi Pazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
PET
0 - 2
NPA
38%
24%
38%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 0
NPA
30%
25%
45%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
APO
2 - 2
NPA
63%
22%
16%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
NPA
2 - 1
RAD
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ZEL
3 - 1
NPA
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
FK Spartak Subotica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
FKS
0 - 0
FKA
61%
21%
18%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
FKS
2 - 0
SLO
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
FKS
1 - 2
APO
32%
26%
43%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
FKS
2 - 0
DEC
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
FKS
2 - 4
TOD
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |