Novi Pazar vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.4%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
5%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
68.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novi Pazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
RAD
0 - 0
NPA
53%
28%
20%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
BEO
0 - 0
NPA
49%
26%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
NPA
0 - 0
BOR
31%
31%
38%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
RAD
1 - 0
NPA
44%
27%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
NPA
1 - 1
VOJ
22%
28%
50%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CRV
4 - 0
FKS
87%
10%
3%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CRV
3 - 1
JAG
84%
11%
5%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | +5 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 2
CRV
43%
24%
33%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CRV
2 - 1
MLA
81%
13%
7%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
JAV
0 - 3
CRV
17%
24%
59%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |