Novi Pazar vs Big Bul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
15.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novi Pazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
TEL
0 - 1
NPA
33%
28%
39%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
NPA
1 - 1
RNS
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SIN
1 - 3
NPA
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
NPA
2 - 1
DVR
62%
23%
15%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
NAP
0 - 0
NPA
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Big Bul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
BIG
0 - 3
MLA
35%
29%
37%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
MLA
1 - 0
BIG
58%
24%
18%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
KOL
2 - 0
BIG
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
BIG
0 - 0
TEL
44%
27%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
RNS
2 - 0
BIG
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |