Novese vs Vado FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
29%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ACQ
3 - 0
NOV
43%
26%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 1
SET
30%
27%
44%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CHI
5 - 0
NOV
73%
17%
10%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 3
GOZ
27%
27%
45%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
NOV
0 - 1
ASD
35%
26%
40%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vado FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
VFC
2 - 2
LIG
39%
23%
38%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 0
VFC
81%
13%
7%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
VFC
2 - 0
CAS
68%
17%
14%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
PIN
1 - 0
VFC
73%
16%
11%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
FEZ
2 - 1
VFC
40%
23%
37%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |