Novese vs Fezzanese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
44.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
DER
2 - 0
NOV
64%
21%
14%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
6 - 1
NOV
83%
13%
5%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 5
BOR
23%
26%
52%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
PIN
5 - 1
NOV
75%
15%
10%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 2
LIG
34%
24%
42%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fezzanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FEZ
2 - 0
SET
31%
24%
46%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
BOR
3 - 1
FEZ
75%
15%
11%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
FEZ
0 - 2
ACQ
37%
23%
40%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
FEZ
81%
13%
6%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
FEZ
3 - 2
GOZ
19%
23%
59%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | +2 |