Novese vs Chieri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
47.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
GOZ
4 - 0
NOV
53%
24%
23%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
DER
0 - 2
NOV
18%
24%
58%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
NOV
0 - 0
BOR
23%
25%
52%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 0
NOV
65%
21%
14%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
NOV
2 - 1
BEL
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 2
DER
81%
14%
5%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 6
BOR
43%
26%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -3 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 0
RAB
65%
19%
16%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SES
1 - 0
CHI
34%
27%
39%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 0
NOV
65%
21%
14%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |