Novese vs AS Bra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
39.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
BEL
2 - 1
NOV
66%
19%
15%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 2
ARG
36%
24%
41%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LAV
1 - 0
NOV
63%
21%
16%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
NOV
0 - 1
RAB
52%
23%
25%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
FEZ
2 - 1
NOV
21%
21%
58%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
AS Bra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ASD
2 - 3
DER
62%
21%
17%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
BOR
1 - 1
ASD
52%
23%
26%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ASD
3 - 0
LIG
79%
13%
9%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CAR
4 - 0
ASD
65%
20%
14%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ASD
2 - 0
CAS
88%
8%
4%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | 0 |