Noves vs CD Toledo B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
42.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
AYT
1 - 1
NOV
71%
16%
14%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 0
CON
65%
18%
16%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
NOV
4 - 1
PUE
74%
15%
11%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CON
2 - 1
NOV
58%
20%
22%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 2
BAR
23%
21%
56%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
CD Toledo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TOL
3 - 0
POL
57%
22%
21%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CAL
0 - 2
TOL
21%
22%
57%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
HAL
3 - 1
TOL
26%
23%
51%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
TOL
3 - 1
VIL
27%
24%
49%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CAB
1 - 2
TOL
58%
22%
20%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |