Noves vs Polan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
29.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CDL
2 - 1
NOV
41%
23%
37%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
PUE
0 - 2
NOV
12%
16%
72%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
NOV
3 - 1
CON
30%
23%
47%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 0
NOV
33%
23%
44%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
NOV
2 - 3
URD
44%
23%
32%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Polan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
POL
4 - 2
CBA
63%
19%
18%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
POL
2 - 2
MOC
24%
22%
54%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ESC
0 - 1
POL
26%
21%
53%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
POL
5 - 1
CAL
23%
22%
55%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ARG
2 - 2
POL
56%
20%
24%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |