Noves vs CF Orgaceño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
40.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
NOV
4 - 2
CBA
78%
13%
9%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MOC
2 - 0
NOV
60%
20%
20%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
NOV
2 - 0
ESC
83%
11%
6%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 1
NOV
29%
22%
49%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
NOV
2 - 0
ARG
66%
18%
17%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CF Orgaceño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ORG
6 - 1
MEN
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CBA
1 - 6
ORG
19%
21%
60%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ORG
1 - 0
POL
68%
18%
14%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MOC
1 - 0
ORG
47%
23%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ORG
1 - 1
CDL
58%
21%
21%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |