Noves vs At. Consuegra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
46.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 0
NOV
33%
23%
44%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
NOV
2 - 3
URD
44%
23%
32%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ORG
3 - 0
NOV
32%
22%
46%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
CBA
1 - 2
NOV
28%
20%
52%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
NOV
2 - 1
MOC
29%
22%
49%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
At. Consuegra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
CON
5 - 0
CBA
77%
14%
9%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
MOC
0 - 1
CON
57%
21%
21%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CON
5 - 1
ESC
65%
18%
17%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CAL
3 - 2
CON
29%
24%
47%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CON
3 - 3
ARG
64%
19%
17%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |