Novelda UCF vs Villajoyosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
12.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+213%
+114%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda UCF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 0
NUD
77%
15%
8%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 0
NUD
73%
16%
11%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
NUD
0 - 0
MUR
40%
22%
37%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 0
NUD
22%
21%
57%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
NUD
0 - 2
CAL
33%
23%
44%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Villajoyosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
VIJ
0 - 8
NUC
8%
15%
77%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
VIJ
1 - 2
IND
11%
17%
72%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ALM
2 - 0
VIJ
72%
17%
12%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
VIJ
0 - 2
CRE
12%
20%
69%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
VIJ
2 - 0
VIL
8%
14%
78%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | +2 |