Novelda UCF vs Orihuela B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
17.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda UCF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
UNI
1 - 1
NUD
27%
22%
52%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
NUD
2 - 2
ELU
89%
8%
3%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
NUD
2 - 0
RSG
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
ASP
0 - 0
NUD
37%
23%
40%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
NUD
0 - 1
BFL
70%
16%
14%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Orihuela B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
ELU
1 - 1
ORI
13%
18%
69%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ORI
1 - 0
THD
59%
19%
22%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ORI
0 - 1
CAL
39%
22%
39%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SFF
3 - 4
ORI
12%
19%
69%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ORI
1 - 6
ELD
55%
20%
24%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |