Novelda UCF vs Crevillente Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
62.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+199%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda UCF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
RED
4 - 1
NUD
74%
15%
11%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
IND
1 - 1
NUD
80%
13%
7%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
NUD
1 - 1
UNI
60%
21%
19%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
ASP
5 - 2
NUD
43%
23%
34%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
NUD
0 - 0
MUR
27%
22%
52%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Crevillente Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CRE
4 - 0
UNI
77%
16%
7%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
ASP
0 - 3
CRE
19%
25%
56%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CRE
1 - 1
MUR
62%
21%
17%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
BFL
3 - 1
CRE
13%
23%
64%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | -2 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
CRE
2 - 1
RAV
79%
15%
6%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | 0 |