Novelda UCF vs Murada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
41.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+84%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda UCF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
RAV
0 - 1
NUD
62%
19%
18%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
NUD
0 - 2
ATH
29%
22%
49%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
ORI
1 - 2
NUD
24%
22%
54%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
NUD
1 - 6
UNI
47%
22%
31%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
ELU
0 - 0
NUD
18%
20%
62%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Murada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
MUR
1 - 0
ATH
33%
23%
44%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 1
MUR
47%
22%
30%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
MUR
0 - 1
CAL
43%
24%
33%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 1
MUR
21%
21%
58%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ALM
4 - 2
MUR
42%
23%
36%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |