Novelda UCF vs Almoradí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
37.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+69%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda UCF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CRE
2 - 0
NUD
83%
12%
5%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
NUD
0 - 1
VIJ
70%
18%
12%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 0
NUD
77%
15%
8%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 0
NUD
73%
16%
11%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
NUD
0 - 0
MUR
40%
22%
37%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Almoradí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ALM
0 - 1
NUC
15%
20%
65%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
IND
3 - 1
ALM
73%
16%
11%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ALM
0 - 2
VIL
31%
24%
46%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CRE
4 - 1
ALM
75%
16%
9%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ALM
2 - 0
VIJ
72%
17%
12%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |