Novelda CF vs Vilamarxant analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
13%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
NOV
3 - 0
OLI
34%
28%
39%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
SIL
1 - 1
NOV
47%
25%
28%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 1
PAI
61%
22%
17%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
TOR
4 - 0
NOV
57%
23%
20%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 2
LEV
11%
22%
67%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Vilamarxant
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
VIL
5 - 0
RIB
45%
24%
31%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
RIB
0 - 1
VIL
52%
24%
24%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 2
DEN
43%
24%
33%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
DEN
0 - 2
VIL
57%
23%
20%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
VIL
4 - 1
ANT
81%
13%
6%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |