Novelda CF vs Utrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
16%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
16%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+284%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1995 |
NOV
0 - 0
HER
19%
26%
55%
|
39 | 72 | 33 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
VEL
0 - 0
NOV
51%
26%
23%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
NOV
3 - 1
CCF
24%
30%
47%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 1995 |
MMA
5 - 1
NOV
72%
18%
10%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
NOV
2 - 0
YEC
25%
29%
46%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Utrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
UTR
0 - 0
POL
29%
28%
43%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
SEV
3 - 0
UTR
81%
14%
5%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1995 |
UTR
0 - 5
RJA
22%
29%
49%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
MAL
3 - 0
UTR
84%
12%
4%
|
35 | 73 | 38 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
UTR
0 - 2
GRA
37%
28%
34%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |