Novelda CF vs UB Conquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+101%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
NOV
1 - 2
ULP
49%
27%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
BEN
0 - 1
NOV
36%
30%
35%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2001 |
NOV
0 - 0
FIG
54%
24%
23%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
NOV
0 - 0
CAS
55%
25%
20%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2001 |
FIG
2 - 1
NOV
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
BEN
2 - 2
UBC
37%
29%
34%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
UBC
3 - 1
CAS
39%
29%
32%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
ALC
1 - 2
UBC
39%
27%
34%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
UBC
0 - 1
HER
35%
29%
36%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2001 |
GET
1 - 1
UBC
63%
22%
15%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |