Novelda CF vs Deportivo Aragón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
30.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
RCD
0 - 2
NOV
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
NOV
0 - 0
CAS
37%
30%
33%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
GIR
1 - 1
NOV
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
NOV
1 - 1
BEN
55%
25%
20%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
HER
2 - 1
NOV
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
ZAR
0 - 0
FIG
50%
28%
22%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
SAB
2 - 4
ZAR
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
ZAR
1 - 0
AZK
62%
24%
14%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
BAD
2 - 0
ZAR
40%
28%
33%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
ZAR
0 - 0
VIJ
47%
28%
25%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |