Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 0-1
Novelda CF vs Poli Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
27.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
HER
3 - 0
NOV
70%
20%
11%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
NOV
0 - 2
CEP
46%
26%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
ONT
2 - 1
NOV
53%
25%
22%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
NOV
0 - 1
TER
34%
28%
38%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
GRA
2 - 0
NOV
61%
23%
16%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Poli Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
DHE
0 - 1
POL
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1999 |
POL
0 - 1
XER
40%
28%
32%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
POL
2 - 4
GUA
52%
26%
22%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
AGU
2 - 1
POL
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1999 |
POL
0 - 2
AGD
44%
27%
29%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |