Novelda CF vs Paterna CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 3
PIN
71%
19%
10%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
UTI
0 - 0
NOV
41%
25%
34%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 0
TOR
64%
21%
15%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
NUC
1 - 1
NOV
54%
24%
22%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 3
ALZ
39%
28%
33%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Paterna CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
PAT
3 - 1
JOV
23%
26%
51%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
TOR
2 - 0
PAT
71%
19%
10%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
UTI
2 - 2
PAT
72%
18%
10%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
PAT
1 - 0
TOR
30%
25%
45%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
NUC
2 - 2
PAT
76%
17%
7%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | +1 |