Novelda CF vs Ontinyent CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
38.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SEG
0 - 1
NOV
16%
20%
64%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 3
ELD
18%
25%
57%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 2
VIL
8%
20%
72%
|
37 | 87 | 50 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
ONT
2 - 4
NOV
53%
25%
22%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 1
ACE
65%
21%
15%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ontinyent CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
ONT
2 - 0
BEN
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
ONT
3 - 1
YEC
57%
23%
20%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
ONT
3 - 2
TAR
42%
27%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
TAR
1 - 0
ONT
42%
26%
32%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
ONT
1 - 0
TER
56%
25%
20%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |