Novelda CF vs Muro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1100%
+579%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
BUÑ
1 - 0
NOV
18%
24%
59%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 1
CAS
39%
28%
33%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
ONT
0 - 0
NOV
49%
26%
26%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 0
SEG
82%
13%
5%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 1
RAY
63%
22%
15%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Muro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
RAY
2 - 1
MUR
45%
26%
30%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
MUR
1 - 1
OLI
13%
24%
63%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
ORI
3 - 1
MUR
63%
21%
16%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 1
MUR
84%
11%
5%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 0
ALM
72%
18%
10%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |